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郭鑫, 许睿, 沈世铭, 等. 一种针对河道水质模拟的特征时序混合模型[J]. 桂林电子科技大学学报, 2023, 43(5): 381-387. doi: 10.3969/1673-808X.2022306
引用本文: 郭鑫, 许睿, 沈世铭, 等. 一种针对河道水质模拟的特征时序混合模型[J]. 桂林电子科技大学学报, 2023, 43(5): 381-387. doi: 10.3969/1673-808X.2022306
GUO Xin, XU Rui, SHEN Shiming, et al. A study on a hybrid model for river water quality based on timing characteristics[J]. Journal of Guilin University of Electronic Technology, 2023, 43(5): 381-387. doi: 10.3969/1673-808X.2022306
Citation: GUO Xin, XU Rui, SHEN Shiming, et al. A study on a hybrid model for river water quality based on timing characteristics[J]. Journal of Guilin University of Electronic Technology, 2023, 43(5): 381-387. doi: 10.3969/1673-808X.2022306

一种针对河道水质模拟的特征时序混合模型

A study on a hybrid model for river water quality based on timing characteristics

  • 摘要: 随着科学技术的发展,重点流域已经构建了众多的水质与气象在线监测站点。由于长时序水质与气象数据的获取,河流水污染的模拟与预测,已经具备了被深度学习模型训练的基础。因此,提出了一种基于多模式混合的特征提取与时序预测模型。通过VGG(视觉几何组)提取水质的变化特征,同时结合GRU(门控循环单元)对时序性数据进行训练,以模拟在真实气象条件下的水污染变化过程。针对国际知名生态旅游区——漓江流域的河道污染进行研究,采用47个站点的水质与气象在线监测数据,对模型进行了实际应用评估。在不同的时间间隔内,将模型实验结果与多种先进的方法进行了比较。实验结果表明,该模型能有效地提高水质预测的准确率,相比其他2种模型,其预测值的平均绝对误差、均方根误差和平均绝对百分误差分别提高了8.6%、13.8%和13.7%。该模型对极值的预测更为准确,且具有较好的适用性。

     

    Abstract: With the development of science and technology, numerous online monitoring points for water quality and meteorology have been established in key river basins. The acquisition of long-term water quality and meteorological data can be acquired and used to train deep learning models, which is the basis for the simulation and prediction of river water pollution. A multi-mode hybrid model was proposed to feature extraction and time-series prediction. In order to simulate the changing process of water pollution under real meteorological conditions, the changing features of water quality were extracted by VGG (Visual Geometric Group), and time-series data was trained by GRU (Gated Recurrent Unit). For the river pollution of Lijiang River, an internationally renowned eco-tourism area, using the online monitoring data of water quality and related meteorology at 47 stations, the proposed model was applied and evaluated. At different time intervals, the experimental results were compared with multiple advanced methods. The experimental results showed that the proposed WQ-VGG-GRU model could effectively improve the accuracy of water quality prediction. Compared with other methods, the mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and average absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the predicted values were increased by 8.6%, 13.8%, and 13.7%, respectively, which showed that the proposed model was more accurate in predicting extreme values and had better applicability.

     

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