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薛琳玥, 迟晓妮, 毛朝选, 等. 基于AI算法的新能源行业量化投资策略[J]. 桂林电子科技大学学报, 2024, 44(1): 36-44. DOI: 10.16725/j.1673-808X.202309
引用本文: 薛琳玥, 迟晓妮, 毛朝选, 等. 基于AI算法的新能源行业量化投资策略[J]. 桂林电子科技大学学报, 2024, 44(1): 36-44. DOI: 10.16725/j.1673-808X.202309
XUE Linyue, CHI Xiaoni, MAO Chaoxuan, et al. Quantitative investment strategy for new energy industry based on AI algorithm[J]. Journal of Guilin University of Electronic Technology, 2024, 44(1): 36-44. DOI: 10.16725/j.1673-808X.202309
Citation: XUE Linyue, CHI Xiaoni, MAO Chaoxuan, et al. Quantitative investment strategy for new energy industry based on AI algorithm[J]. Journal of Guilin University of Electronic Technology, 2024, 44(1): 36-44. DOI: 10.16725/j.1673-808X.202309

基于AI算法的新能源行业量化投资策略

Quantitative investment strategy for new energy industry based on AI algorithm

  • 摘要: 随着人工智能(AI)的广泛应用,其与量化投资的结合促进了量化金融领域的飞速发展。基于AI算法,将支持向量机、随机森林、Adaboost和XGBoost等多种算法引入量化投资领域的多因子选股模型中,构建出不同的多因子量化投资策略,并将其在新能源行业投资的选股绩效进行比较。选取与新能源行业关系密切的估值类、规模类、技术类、动量类等十大类因子中的35个因子,通过IC值检验法筛选出5个有效因子,并借助AT-edu量化平台在2020年1月至2021年12月内进行量化投资策略的滚动回测,系统性地比较了不同多因子选股模型的绩效。最后,通过策略的优化构建出符合投资者预期利益与风险诉求的新能源行业量化投资策略。实证结果表明:无论是传统多因子选股模型,还是结合算法构建的多因子选股模型,其策略的净值曲线均高于同期沪深300基准曲线,且相比传统的多因子选股模型,AI算法构建的多因子量化选股模型的绩效表现更好,其中XGBoost选股模型在策略回测期间获得了最佳收益,且拥有最大的年化收益率和夏普比率。

     

    Abstract: With the widespread application of artificial intelligence (AI), its combination with quantitative investment has promoted the rapid development of the field of quantitative finance. Based on the AI algorithms, various algorithms such as support vector machine, random forest, Adaboost and XGBoost are introduced into the multi-factor stock selection model in the field of quantitative investment, and different multi-factor quantitative investment strategies are constructed, and their investment in the new energy industry are used. A comparative study of stock picking performance. Select 35 factors out of the ten categories of factors closely related to the new energy industry, including valuation, scale, technology, and momentum, and screen out 5 effective factors through the IC value test method, and use the AT-edu quantitative platform conduct rolling backtests of quantitative investment strategies from January 2020 to December 2021, and systematically compare the performance of different multi-factor stock selection models. Finally, optimize the strategy and construct a quantitative investment strategy for the new energy industry that meets investors' expected interests and risk demands. The empirical results show that: no matter it is the traditional multi-factor stock selection model or the multi-factor stock selection model combined with the algorithm, the net value curve of the strategy is higher than the CSI 300 benchmark curve in the same period. Moreover, compared with the traditional multi-factor stock selection model, the performance of the multi-factor quantitative stock selection model constructed by the AI algorithm is better. Among them, the XGBoost stock selection model obtained the best return during the strategy backtest period, and has the largest annualized return rate and Sharpe ratio.

     

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